AFC East: New England. Two time defenders get benefit of doubtat least through regular season.
AFC North: Pittsburgh. Brian Billick is the antichrist and Jamal Lewis is injured. The two + games he'll miss will keep him from getting truly in sync with the offense after being out of camp with suspensions and surgery rehab.
AFC South: Indianapolis: Most talented team in NFL just signed Corey Simon to help out defense. He helped Philly last year, he'll do the same this year.
AFC West: San Diego: Offense will be enough to get them out of weak division. Maybe.
NFC East: Phildelphia. The meltdown is beginning between T.O. and McNabb, but it won't matter till the playoffs.
NFC North: Green Bay has one more shot with Favre and he knows it. They'll win ugly, but they'll win.
NFC South: Carolina. Please God, no injuries.
NFC West: Seattle. Talent to spare, but will their heads be screwed on straight this year. I think so.
AFC Wildcards: NY Jets Tennessee
NFC Wildcards: Atlanta Dallas
Super Bowl: Change the name to the Flyer Curse, Indy over Carolina.
First coach fired: None during the season. All the worst teams have first or second year coaches and they'll have a grace period. Exept Detroit, but since that's going to take total mangement restructuring, as Razor suggests, I think it'll happen after the season.
First QB benched: Tim Rattay, and it'll onlyget worse for SF.
Most improved: NY Giants. Little Manning will come around nicely this year.