Tuesday, August 05, 2003

No, no, no: Eno, you should have been a lawyer, because you contort my words better than any counselor I've come across. My definition of luck is not "chance, whether the outcome is favorable or not." What I said is that to be "lucky," one must have a higher quantity and/or frequency of good things happening to you which are outside or blind to your efforts to control them. Winning 7 out of 10 of your bets on football games would be considered lucky. As would, probably, losing 9 $10 bets, but winning the $1000 bet on a consistent basis. Lucky people seem to have happy things happen to them more often than not; not necessarily all the time. When it is good all the time, people would be more likely to say that you are skillful or are somehow manipulating events so that they work in your favor (yes, you can have some luck thrown in). Say for example you won every craps throw: one would assume you are loading the dice, not that you are "lucky". Now, more interestingly, who has things go their way all the time? No one. Wealthy people might be horrible spouses or parents, so that they're only "good" in one arena, while "bad" in another. So again, the issue needs more focus.

Eno's example of the pool table, is, however right on, and in that light, I come to the same conclusion: It's a bad question.

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